What the Odds Say
The Seattle Kraken open as clear favorites on home ice against the Calgary Flames on Monday, October 5, 2026. Across major US sportsbooks, Seattle is priced between -130 and -135 on the moneyline, implying a win probability of roughly 56 to 57 percent. Calgary sits at +110 to +114 on the other side, implying around a 47 to 48 percent chance of winning. Those figures add up to more than 100 percent, which reflects the built-in margin each book takes on the market.
For a quick line comparison, the Odds Converter lets you convert American odds into implied probabilities or decimal format.
Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken: Book-by-Book Breakdown
Seattle is the consensus favorite across major platforms, but the price range is worth noting. DraftKings has the Kraken at -135, the most expensive line for Seattle backers. BetMGM comes in softer at -130, and Coral and Ladbrokes land at -133. For Calgary backers, BetMGM and Coral both offer +110, while DraftKings edges higher at +114, giving Flames bettors the best available return.
The European-facing books that include a draw option, 1xBet and Marathon Bet, list draw prices of +316 and +310 respectively. In NHL betting, the draw refers to a tie after regulation, with the game then going to overtime or a shootout. On US sportsbooks, the moneyline typically covers the full game including overtime and the shootout, so these three-way prices are most relevant if you're focused on regulation-only markets.
One outlier worth flagging: Polymarket lists Calgary at -133 and Seattle at -164, which is inverted compared to every other book. That pricing reflects market-driven prediction mechanics rather than sharp sportsbook lines. Treat it separately from the traditional book consensus.
Puck Line
The standard NHL puck line of -1.5 is available on multiple books, with Seattle giving 1.5 goals at +180 across BetMGM, Coral, DraftKings, and Ladbrokes. Calgary taking the 1.5 is priced between -217 and -233 depending on the book, with Coolbet at the expensive end at -233.
That pricing signals the market expects a competitive game. A +180 return for Seattle -1.5 reflects real risk, and Calgary +1.5 requiring you to lay more than two dollars to win one suggests books anticipate a high share of close, one-goal outcomes.
1xBet is also offering a puck line at 0.0, which functions like a regulation-only straight win bet. Seattle is priced at -132 and Calgary at +116 in that format, close to the full-game moneylines available elsewhere. That line may appeal to bettors who want regulation-only action without the draw complication.
Totals
The total for this game is set at 5.5 across all books, with pricing on both sides tight enough that the market has no strong lean in either direction.
1xBet has both sides at -106, essentially a pick. DraftKings prices both at -110. BetMGM slightly favors the over at -105 versus the under at -115. Coral and Ladbrokes both price the under at -125 and the over at -110. If you're targeting the over, Coral and Ladbrokes offer the best value at -110. If you're targeting the under, the -106 at 1xBet is meaningfully better than the -125 at Coral and Ladbrokes.
Key Factors Before Puck Drop
Early-Season Uncertainty
October 5, 2026 falls at the very start of the NHL regular season. Early-season lines carry more uncertainty than midseason markets. Rosters may still be in flux, line combinations are being established, and preseason data is limited. Lines are more likely to move as new information surfaces, which cuts both ways for bettors.
Goaltending and Lineup News
Goaltending is the single biggest driver of late line movement in hockey. A starter scratched close to puck drop can shift the moneyline by 10 to 15 cents quickly. Line Whale's Steam Moves tool lets you track sharp movement across books in real time, which is especially useful when the spread between books is already noticeable.
Shopping Lines
The gap between the best and worst Calgary moneyline prices is already meaningful. If you're leaning toward the Flames, DraftKings at +114 is the best available price right now versus +110 at BetMGM and Coral. Those differences add up over a full season. Check the NHL odds page for live updates as puck drop approaches.