What the Odds Say
The Dallas Stars open as clear favorites against the St. Louis Blues at home on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The moneyline consensus points firmly toward Dallas, and the spread of prices across books gives bettors room to shop for value on either side.
At most major US-facing books, Dallas sits in the -190 to -213 range on the moneyline. BetMGM, Bovada, DraftKings, Fanatics, and MyBookie.ag all cluster in that neighborhood, putting the implied probability of a Dallas win somewhere between 65% and 68%. That is a significant lean, but not a runaway number. This is still an NHL game, and upsets happen.
The Blues are listed as underdogs at most US books, priced between +170 and +175, implying St. Louis wins roughly 37% of the time by the market's estimation.
Notable Line Differences: Blues vs. Stars Moneyline
The spread across books is wide enough to matter. Smarkets has the Stars at -233, which translates to an implied win probability closer to 70%. On the other end, Caesars has Dallas at -189. European books including 1xBet, Marathon Bet, and Unibet price Dallas anywhere from -119 to -135, but those are three-way markets that include the regulation draw.
A quick note on three-way lines: they only pay out on regulation results. The draw is priced between +290 and +346 depending on the book. If you are betting at an offshore or international book, confirm which market you are on before placing a wager.
For Blues bettors, Caesars is offering the most favorable two-way price at +155, a meaningful edge over the +170 consensus. Shopping that line is worth a few minutes of your time. Our Odds Converter can help you translate prices into implied probabilities across books.
The Puck Line Picture
Dallas is listed at -1.5 across the board, with prices ranging from +117 at MyBookie.ag to +145 at Fanatics Sportsbook. The Blues are getting +1.5 everywhere, priced between -137 and -179.
The Fanatics line is the outlier worth flagging. Dallas -1.5 at +145 is notably better than the +120 available at most other books. If you like Dallas to win by two or more, that number is worth locking in before it corrects.
For St. Louis backers taking the extra cushion, 1xBet offers Blues +1.5 at -137, the most favorable price on that side.
Totals: A Split Market at 5.5 and 6
The totals market is divided, with some books posting the game at 5.5 and others at 6. That split is informative. Books at 5.5 are charging a premium for the over, while those at 6 are offering it at or near even money.
At DraftKings, the over 5.5 is -120 and the under 5.5 is +100. BetMGM mirrors that structure on the other side: over 6 at +100, under 6 at -120. If you expect a game that lands right around six goals, which total you bet on matters significantly.
If you are building a multi-leg ticket around this game, our Parlay Calculator can show you how the juice affects your expected payout across different combinations.
Key Factors to Watch Before Puck Drop
Goaltender news. NHL lines move fast when a starting goaltender is ruled out. Any update to the Dallas or St. Louis crease situation could shift the moneyline by 10 to 20 cents quickly.
Home ice. Dallas plays in a strong home environment, and that factors into the favorite pricing. Early-season home ice can be harder to quantify, though, as teams are still settling in.
Early-season variance. This is an early October game, the first handful of games of the 2026-27 season. With limited performance data available, the market is leaning heavily on preseason assessments. That can create value if you believe a team has changed meaningfully from the prior year.
Sharp action. Watch for movement on the Stars line. If Dallas climbs from -204 toward -220 or higher, that signals professional money backing the home side. You can track those shifts using Steam Moves on Line Whale.
The market says Dallas, but the price is not so steep that there is no case for St. Louis. That is the bet to understand before Saturday.