Saints Favored, But Only Just: What the Odds Say
The New Orleans Saints travel to MetLife Stadium to face the New York Giants on Sunday, October 19, with kickoff set for 1:00 PM ET. Both teams have struggled to find consistency in 2024, and the betting market reflects how close oddsmakers see this one. The Saints are consensus favorites, but only by a slim margin, making this one of the tighter spreads on the Week 7 slate.
Moneyline: Saints Are Modest Favorites Over the Giants
Across major US-facing sportsbooks, the Saints are installed as modest moneyline favorites. FanDuel, Caesars, and DraftKings all list New Orleans at -118. The Giants are priced anywhere from +100 to +110 depending on the book, meaning several sportsbooks are treating this as close to a coin flip.
Converting -118 to implied probability gives you roughly 54.1% for the Saints. The Giants at +100 translates to a clean 50.0% implied win probability. The market is not expressing strong confidence in either team. To run these numbers yourself, the Odds Converter makes it easy to flip between American odds and implied probabilities.
One outlier worth flagging: BetOpenly has the Giants at +110, the best available moneyline price for New York. Novig shows the Giants at +104, making it another option for bettors shopping the New York side. If you are leaning Giants, those are the books to check first.
Spread: Saints -1.5 Is the Market Consensus
The spread lands at Saints -1.5 across the major books, including BetOnline, BetUS, Caesars, FanDuel, and DraftKings. The juice varies, but the number is consistent. FanDuel and DraftKings both price it at Saints -1.5 (-105) and Giants +1.5 (-115).
A handful of books are posting the line at Saints -1.0 instead. BetRivers, LeoVegas, PMU, and Unibet all show Saints -1 or Giants +1, suggesting some hesitation about whether New Orleans can cover even a field goal. If you like the Giants to keep it close or win outright, grabbing +1.5 is preferable to +1. It is worth comparing available numbers before placing.
BetOpenly is posting Saints -1.5 at +100, a plus-money price on a favorite covering a small spread. Situations like this are worth running through the Positive EV Finder to see if the consensus fair line is being beaten.
Line Shopping Matters Here
With a spread this small and a moneyline this tight, line shopping carries real value. The difference between -115 and -105 on the same side adds up over time, and with the Giants ranging from +100 to +110 on the moneyline across books, leaving that edge on the table is a costly habit.
Total: 44.5 Is the Number
The over/under sits at 44.5 at most sportsbooks. DraftKings is the notable outlier, posting 45.5. Most books have both sides priced near -110, though FanDuel slightly favors the under at -105 and charges -115 for the over.
A 44.5-point total is on the lower end for an NFL game, which reflects the offensive concerns surrounding both franchises. The Giants have dealt with quarterback inconsistency and turnover, and the Saints have their own questions at the skill positions. The market is not pricing in a shootout.
What Could Move This Line
Quarterback news is the biggest variable for both sides. Any injury update or depth chart change could shift the line by a point or more quickly.
Injury reports for skill positions, particularly wide receivers and running backs, will also matter. Both offenses have had availability issues this season, and the total could move significantly depending on who is active.
Public betting patterns on a game this close can push the line a half-point in either direction. Tracking line movement using Line History can help you decide whether to bet now or wait for a better number.
The market is giving both teams a real shot here. That alone tells you something about where the Saints and Giants stand in 2024.