MMA Betting Preview: A Loaded Slate With One Monster Main Event
Ten fights are on the docket for the week of July 13, and the MMA odds paint a clear picture from top to bottom. The slate runs across Saturday, July 18 and Sunday, July 19, with action starting in the early morning and building toward a championship-level main event. The books are heavily opinionated on several fights, but two near-coin-flip matchups offer genuine two-way interest. From a -909 blowout to a true pick-em, this card covers the full range of betting situations.
Saturday, July 18 MMA Odds and Matchups
Early Action: Franco vs. Rodrigues (5:00 AM EDT)
Felipe Franco (+155) vs. Levi Rodrigues (-189). Rodrigues is the moderate favorite at 65% implied probability, with Franco at 39%. The total is set at 1.5, so the books expect a finish. Franco's plus-money price reflects a genuinely uncertain outcome, and any fighter in the +150 range deserves a look if you have a matchup-specific reason to back him.
Afternoon Card (5:00 PM EDT)
Five fights share the same start window Saturday afternoon, ranging from a near pick-em to one of the most lopsided lines on the card.
Alberto Montes (-115) vs. Tommy McMillen (-105) is the tightest line of the week. Montes sits at 53% implied probability, McMillen at 51%. When the market is this split, the books see no clear skill or stylistic edge. Near-even lines require strong personal conviction to act on, since the juice on both sides is minimal.
Stewart Nicoll (-909) vs. Alden Coria (+600) is the opposite extreme. Nicoll carries 90% implied probability. To win $100 on Nicoll, you risk over $900, so the reward rarely fits standard bankroll management. Coria at +600 implies a 14% chance and works as a small lottery-ticket play for bettors who chase long-shot payouts.
Jacobe Smith (+146) vs. Kevin Holland (-172) puts Holland at 63% implied probability and Smith at 41%. No total is posted for this fight. The absence of a number can reflect bookmaker uncertainty about the fight's likely path, and it is worth monitoring for line movement before Saturday.
Jose Delgado (+100) vs. Austin Bashi (-120) is the second near pick-em on the card. Bashi is a slight favorite at 55% implied probability, and Delgado is essentially at even money. Lines this flat offer little edge unless you have a strong read on the matchup.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (-222) vs. Seok Hyun Ko (+185) closes the afternoon block. Lebosnoyani is a comfortable favorite at 69% implied probability. The total is set at 2.5, higher than most fights on the card, suggesting the books are pricing in the possibility this one goes longer. That number matters if you are considering over or under props.
Evening: Kline vs. Ricci (7:45 PM EDT)
Fatima Kline (-370) vs. Tabatha Ricci (+290). Kline is a heavy favorite at 79% implied probability. The 2.5 total implies some expectation of duration. Ricci at +290 is a reasonable underdog price on paper, but a 79% market implied probability is a serious statement of confidence in Kline.
Sunday, July 19 MMA Odds and Matchups
Ramirez vs. Hooper (8:45 PM EDT)
Mitch Ramirez (-370) vs. Chase Hooper (+290). This line mirrors Kline-Ricci almost exactly: 79% implied probability for the favorite, +290 for the underdog, and a 1.5 total signaling an expected finish. When two fights carry nearly identical pricing, it reflects similar levels of market certainty.
Duncan vs. Cannonier (9:15 PM EDT)
Christian Leroy Duncan (-323) vs. Jared Cannonier (+250). Cannonier is a recognizable name priced as a notable underdog at 29% implied probability. Duncan sits at 76%. The 2.5 total hints at a longer fight, which historically favors experienced grapplers and high-output strikers.
Main Event: Usman vs. Du Plessis (9:45 PM EDT)
Kamaru Usman (+225) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (-278) is the most compelling betting matchup on the slate. Du Plessis carries 74% implied probability, with Usman at 31%. The total is set at 3.5, the highest on the card, which signals the books expect this fight to go the distance or deep into the championship rounds. Usman at +225 gives him meaningful underdog equity, making this a genuine two-way market. For bettors considering multi-fight parlays, use the Parlay Calculator to see how stacking Usman with another underdog affects your payout and risk. To flip any of these American odds into implied probabilities before Saturday, the Odds Converter is a quick reference tool.
This is a well-rounded card with pick-em sharpness, long-shot underdog value, and a main event with real two-way interest.