What the Odds Say
Song Yadong enters this bantamweight matchup as a heavy favorite across every major sportsbook. Lines range from -556 to -588 on Yadong, with Deiveson Figueiredo available as a significant underdog at +390 to +440 depending on where you shop.
To put those numbers in plain terms, a -556 price carries an implied win probability of roughly 84.7%. At -588, that climbs to about 85.5%. Bettors backing Figueiredo are being offered a substantial payout in exchange for backing what the market views as a long-shot outcome. To convert any of these figures into decimal or fractional odds, the Odds Converter on Line Whale makes that quick work.
Current Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Lines
Here is how each book is pricing this fight right now:
| Sportsbook | Song Yadong | Deiveson Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | -556 | +420 |
| BetUS | -556 | +399 |
| Bovada | -588 | +400 |
| Caesars Sportsbook | -556 | +400 |
| DraftKings | -588 | +440 |
| FanDuel | -588 | +390 |
Notable Line Differences
The underdog side is where the most meaningful shopping opportunity exists. DraftKings is offering Figueiredo at +440, the best available price for anyone considering the upset. FanDuel sits at the other end at +390, a full 50 points lower on the same bet. That gap matters: a $100 bet at +440 returns $440 in profit, while the same bet at +390 returns only $390. Line shopping on a double-digit underdog is not optional.
On the favorite side, the spread is tighter. Books pricing Yadong at -556 (BetOnline.ag, BetUS, and Caesars) are slightly more favorable than the -588 you will find at Bovada, DraftKings, and FanDuel. If you are leaning toward the chalk, -556 is the number to target.
Fighter Context
Deiveson Figueiredo is one of the most accomplished fighters in UFC history at the lower weights. A former two-time flyweight champion, "Deus da Guerra" moved up to bantamweight and earned a title shot after a string of strong performances. He is a dangerous finisher with elite submission and knockout credentials. The market has not priced him out of contention entirely, and for good reason.
Song Yadong has established himself as one of the more dangerous strikers in the 135-pound division. His pace, durability, and sustained output make him a difficult matchup for almost anyone. The consistency of the line across six books suggests strong market agreement that his skill set matches up well against Figueiredo here.
What to Watch From a Betting Perspective
Age and Activity
Figueiredo is in the later stage of his career and has dealt with stretches of inactivity. Any prefight news on his camp, weight cut, or conditioning could move the line. Yadong has stayed relatively active by comparison. Monitor fight-week updates for either fighter before placing a bet.
Finish Props and Method of Victory
With a proven finisher on one side and a high-volume striker on the other, the method of victory market deserves attention alongside the moneyline. A decision win tells a very different story than a finish, and props can offer better value than the main line in a lopsided fight. If you are building a parlay, the Parlay Calculator can help you model how method-of-victory props stack with the moneyline.
Line Movement
Given how heavily this fight is priced, any meaningful movement toward Figueiredo would be notable. Heavy public money on Yadong is expected and largely baked in. A sharp reduction in the juice on Yadong, or movement in the underdog's direction, would be worth tracking as fight night approaches.
The Value Question
At +440 on DraftKings, Figueiredo's implied probability is approximately 18.5%. Whether that price reflects his real chances is the core question bettors need to answer for themselves. Six books are aligned, which generally signals market confidence in the number. But Figueiredo has defied long odds before, and his finishing ability means any single moment in the fight can change the outcome.
Check the UFC odds page on Line Whale to track live lines on this fight and the rest of the May 30 card as the event approaches.