What the Odds Say About This Fight
Jaqueline Amorim and Loma Lookboonmee meet on Saturday, May 30, and the betting market is pricing this as close to a coin flip as you'll find on a UFC card. Across six major sportsbooks, neither fighter has emerged as a clear favorite. The lines are tight, the books are split, and where you place your bet matters.
The market leans slightly toward Loma Lookboonmee as the consensus favorite, but the edge is razor thin. BetOnline.ag is the outlier, posting Amorim as a slight favorite at -116 with Loma at -104. Bovada goes further in that direction, listing Amorim at -122 and Loma at +102. BetUS, Caesars, and DraftKings all agree on Loma at -105 with Amorim at -115. FanDuel has them dead even at -114 apiece.
The market has no strong conviction on either side. This is a genuinely contested fight where sharp money and public action are pulling in different directions depending on the book.
Breaking Down the Implied Probabilities
When lines are this close, implied probability becomes important. A -115 moneyline implies roughly a 53.5% chance of winning. A -105 line implies about 51.2%.
Bovada's -122 on Amorim implies about a 54.9% win probability for her, which is higher than what other books are pricing. If you're leaning toward Amorim, Bovada is the worst place to bet her. BetOnline at -116 gives you the best return on the same side. Conversely, if you like Loma, Bovada is your best option at +102, which converts to an implied probability of just 49.5%, making her a technical underdog there despite being the consensus favorite at most other books.
This is exactly why comparing odds across books before placing a bet matters. Use the Odds Converter to translate these American odds into whichever format helps you evaluate implied probability most clearly.
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Loma Lookboonmee: Line Differences Across Books
The spread across these six books is wider than you typically see in mainstream sports, which is common in MMA. The market is still forming around this fight, and individual book pricing can vary significantly based on early handle and internal modeling.
The most notable gap is between Bovada and the rest of the market. Bovada has Amorim as a -122 favorite while three other major books have her as a -105 to -115 underdog. That is a significant divergence worth monitoring. If Bovada moves toward the field, it could signal where sharp money is sitting. Line Whale's Steam Moves tool is built for exactly that kind of line shopping and sharp action tracking.
You can compare the full range of available lines through the UFC odds page to see live numbers and shop for the best price as fight night approaches.
What to Watch From a Betting Perspective
Line Movement Leading Up to Fight Night
With more than a week still to go, these lines have room to move. In MMA, late-breaking news around weight cuts, training camp reports, or injury disclosures can shift lines quickly. Monitoring how Bovada's number tracks relative to the market consensus will be telling. If Bovada moves toward -105 or -110 on Amorim, it likely means early action there was on Loma. If they hold at -122, they're comfortable with their position.
The Value Case on Both Sides
For bettors leaning toward Loma, Bovada at +102 is the best available line. That's the only book currently offering plus money on her, meaning she's technically priced as an underdog there while being the consensus favorite elsewhere.
For bettors leaning toward Amorim, BetOnline at -116 is the most favorable number available, compared to -122 at Bovada. Buying back those six cents on the line makes a real difference to your return over time.
Juice and Flat Lines
The FanDuel -114/-114 flat line carries a relatively low hold compared to other books here, making it an efficient place to bet either side. For bettors who want to run the full expected value picture before committing, the EV Calculator can help you evaluate any of these lines before placing your bet.
With fight night still more than a week out and real disagreement across books, this one is worth watching closely before you commit.