What the Odds Say
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters this October 31 matchup as a clear favorite across every book carrying the fight. Lines range from -217 at 1xBet to -286 at Winamax, giving Lebosnoyani implied win probabilities between roughly 68% and 74%. Farman Hasanov is listed as the underdog at odds ranging from +165 at Winamax to +202 at Pinnacle.
The spread is wide enough that line shopping matters on both sides.
Consensus Favorite: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
No book on the board has this fight close. Pinnacle is widely regarded as one of the sharpest markets in the world, and their number on Lebosnoyani sits at -244, implying a win probability of around 71%. That figure is a reliable anchor for where the true line likely sits.
The range from -217 at 1xBet to -286 at Winamax represents notable disagreement among oddsmakers about how dominant Lebosnoyani is. Bettors fading the favorite should note that 1xBet's -217 is significantly softer than the Pinnacle and Winamax numbers, which may reflect slower line adjustment or a different model for Lebosnoyani's edge.
1xBet also lists a draw at +6900. The implied probability of a draw is under 1.5%, so it should not factor into most betting decisions here.
Farman Hasanov's Underdog Price: Where to Find the Best Number
For Hasanov backers, Pinnacle's +202 is the best available number by a clear margin, converting to an implied probability of just under 33%. Winamax and Novig are the softest books on Hasanov at +165 and +167, respectively. The difference between +165 and +202 is significant over the long run, and getting the best underdog price is one of the most straightforward edges available to recreational bettors.
Use the Odds Converter to translate any of these American odds into implied probabilities or decimal format for easier cross-book comparison.
Line Shopping Summary
| Book | Lebosnoyani | Hasanov |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | -217 | +179 |
| Betclic | -278 | +190 |
| BetOnline.ag | -238 | +200 |
| Novig | -238 | +167 |
| Pinnacle | -244 | +202 |
| Unibet (UK) | -263 | +185 |
| Winamax (France) | -286 | +165 |
What to Watch Before Fight Night
Line Movement Heading Into October 31
With eight days until the fight, there is still time for this line to move. Lopsided public money on a clear favorite can push the number further in Lebosnoyani's direction, making early underdog value harder to find as the week progresses. Sharp action on Hasanov could compress the favorite's price in the other direction. Monitoring movement before fight night is worth doing if you are undecided on a side.
The Line History tool tracks movement across 100-plus sportsbooks over the last 30 days, which can help identify when sharp money entered the market and how the line responded.
Key Factors That Could Shift the Market
MMA markets are sensitive to stylistic matchup analysis, camp updates, and late changes to a fighter's physical condition or weight cut situation. A report of injury, a difficult camp, or a missed weight can move a line quickly and significantly.
The gap between the softest and sharpest numbers on Lebosnoyani suggests some existing divergence in how books are modeling this fight. If new information surfaces about either fighter's preparation, expect the outer edges of this range to narrow as books recalibrate.
For bettors evaluating whether there is positive expected value on Hasanov's underdog price, the Positive EV Finder surfaces live spots where a book's odds beat the fair-market probability derived from the consensus line.
Bottom Line on the Market
Lebosnoyani is a clear but not overwhelming favorite. The sharpest books imply he wins roughly 71% of the time. Hasanov's best available number is +202 at Pinnacle. The gap between books is wide enough that line shopping is essential, not optional. Keep an eye on movement heading into fight night on October 31.