What the Odds Say
Erin Blanchfield opens as a clear favorite over Jasmine Jasudavicius in their UFC flyweight bout on Saturday, October 17 at 2:00 PM PDT. The spread across books is wide enough to reward line shoppers before any action is placed.
Blanchfield's odds range from -227 at 1xBet to -303 at Winamax. Jasudavicius checks in as a live underdog ranging from +175 at Winamax to +210 at Caesars Sportsbook. That variance signals books have not fully settled on a consensus price, which matters before fight week.
Consensus Favorite: Erin Blanchfield
Blanchfield is the clear choice at every book in the market. Her implied probability sits in the 69-75% range depending on which number you reference. At -227, the implied probability is roughly 69.4%. At -303, it climbs to 75.2%.
That gap is meaningful. If you believe the fair price is closer to the 1xBet number, buying Blanchfield at -303 on Winamax represents significant overpricing. If you're fading Blanchfield, Caesars at +210 or BetOnline.ag at +207 give you noticeably more value than Winamax's +175.
A $100 bet on Jasudavicius returns $210 at Caesars versus $175 at Winamax. Consistently finding the best number on underdogs is one of the few edges recreational bettors can actually capture. Check the UFC odds page on Line Whale to compare live prices across books in one place.
Breaking Down the Line Spread
The 76-point spread between the softest (-227) and sharpest (-303) Blanchfield price is unusually large for a fight still eight days out. Here is how the books stack up:
Best Prices for Blanchfield Backers
- 1xBet: -227
- BetOnline.ag: -250
- Betway: -250
Best Prices for Jasudavicius Backers
- Caesars Sportsbook: +210
- 1xBet: +208
- BetOnline.ag: +207
If you want to back Blanchfield, 1xBet offers the most favorable return by a considerable margin. If you see value on Jasudavicius, Caesars is the book to target.
1xBet also lists a draw at +3200, which is standard MMA pricing for a near-impossibility in a flyweight bout. Skip it unless you're building a long-shot parlay. The Parlay Calculator can show you the combined odds and payout if you're stacking this fight with other legs.
What to Watch Before the Fight
Lines in MMA move for several reasons in the days leading up to a bout. Here are the key factors that could shift the number on this one.
Betting Volume and Sharp Action
When one side attracts sharp, high-volume money, books adjust quickly. If Jasudavicius draws unexpected action from respected bettors, her price could compress from +210 toward +180 or lower. If the public hammers Blanchfield as fight week builds, books will shade her number down to manage liability. The Line History tool tracks movement across books so you can see whether the number is drifting or holding.
Weight and Camp Concerns
Flyweight cuts always carry risk. Any news about weight issues, injuries, or late scratches can move a line dramatically in either direction. Follow the fighters' social media and official UFC updates as the October 17 weigh-ins approach.
Style Matchup Narrative
If credible analysis or respected voices in the fight community begin pushing a particular narrative about how this bout plays out, that conversation can influence recreational money and, eventually, the line. Watch for any significant shifts from the current consensus range as fight night approaches.
Betting Takeaway
Blanchfield is the consensus favorite at a price that reflects real but not overwhelming market confidence. The wide book-to-book variance creates opportunity for bettors who shop aggressively. Whether you're backing the favorite at the softest number or taking Jasudavicius at the best plus-money price, compare across books before committing. Eight days is enough time for this line to move meaningfully, so getting in early at the right book or waiting for a sharper number both carry trade-offs worth considering.