A Toss-Up With a Home-Field Lean
Los Angeles FC travels to St. Louis on Monday, November 23 for a 5:00 PM PST kickoff against St. Louis City SC. The market is treating this as one of the more evenly matched contests on the MLS slate, with odds across books remarkably tight and a slight lean toward the home side visible in the consensus.
At Pinnacle, St. Louis City SC is listed at +151 on the moneyline, Los Angeles FC at +158, and the draw at +281. Those numbers put the implied probabilities at roughly 40% for St. Louis, 39% for LAFC, and 26% for the draw, before removing the vig. That is about as close to a pick 'em as you will find in professional soccer betting.
FanDuel has LAFC at +155 and St. Louis at +150, essentially flipping the slight favorite label to the visitors. Fanatics Sportsbook goes the other direction, listing St. Louis at +140 and LAFC at +150. The spread of opinion across books tells you the market has no strong conviction here, which makes line shopping a meaningful exercise for this game.
Moneyline Odds: LAFC vs. St. Louis City SC
The widest prices available to US bettors are worth noting. On the LAFC side, MyBookie.ag offers +166 and Kalshi offers +163. For St. Louis backers, both 1xBet and Kalshi list +156, while Fanatics and 888sport sit at the lower end at +140. On the draw, Kalshi offers +300, a meaningful premium over Pinnacle's +281 and most other books in the +245 to +285 range.
If you want to convert any of these numbers to implied probability, the Odds Converter on Line Whale handles that in seconds.
The gap between books on this match is noticeable. Betclic has St. Louis at +118 while 1xBet has the same side at +156, a substantial spread on a three-way market. Unibet France's +100 on St. Louis stands out as a clear outlier on the low end, likely reflecting local market inefficiencies rather than sharp consensus. Bettors on US-facing books are working with a considerably better range.
Spread and Totals
The spread market reflects the same uncertainty as the moneyline. Pinnacle, 1xBet, and Marathon Bet are all pricing this at a pick 'em (0.0 line), with both sides hovering around -105 to -119 depending on the book. MyBookie.ag is the notable exception, offering St. Louis -0.5 at +127, implying a stronger lean toward the home side winning outright.
On the totals side, most books have landed on 3.5 goals as the key number. The over at 3.5 is available at +129 at 1xBet and +121 at Marathon Bet. The under at 3.5 carries significant juice across several books, ranging from -147 to -172, signaling that books expect a lower-scoring affair. Pinnacle offers its line at 3.25, which splits the difference and is worth comparing against the 3.5 number elsewhere. If you see value in the under at 3.5, the Middle Calculator can help you identify whether a middle exists between books offering different totals numbers.
What to Watch Before Kickoff
Playoff context. A late-November MLS matchup means postseason implications could influence team motivation and lineup decisions. Keep an eye on where both clubs stand and whether either side has reason to rest key players.
Home form for St. Louis City SC. The slight lean toward the home side in the spread market and certain moneyline books reflects some weight given to home-field advantage. How St. Louis has performed at home recently will be relevant context as this line develops.
LAFC's road record. LAFC has enough quality to be a genuine threat away from home. Their road results this season will be an important factor as sharper money weighs in closer to kickoff.
Line movement. This market is priced tightly enough that any sharp action could shift the consensus. If the spread moves off zero or the moneyline edges one direction noticeably in the days before the match, that is worth tracking. The Line History tool on Line Whale monitors movement across more than 100 sportsbooks over the past 30 days.
With 13 days until kickoff, there is time for this market to develop. For now, the data points to a genuine toss-up with the slightest lean toward St. Louis City SC at home.