Nashville SC Enters as Clear Favorite in Montreal
Nashville SC travels to Stade Saputo to face CF Montreal on Saturday, October 24, with kickoff set for 10:30 AM PDT. The moneyline market is firmly in Nashville's favor, though the spread between books is wide enough to reward line shopping.
Nashville is the consensus favorite, with moneyline prices clustering in the -132 to -175 range. CF Montreal sits as a significant underdog, with odds ranging from +280 (Winamax) to +376 (Kalshi). The draw fills in as the middle option, priced between +275 and +355 across the market.
At Pinnacle, widely regarded as one of the sharpest books available, Nashville is listed at -159, Montreal at +368, and the draw at +338. That implies Nashville wins roughly 61% of the time after removing the vig.
Breaking Down the Implied Probabilities
Using the Pinnacle line as a sharp reference point, here is what the market is pricing in for each outcome:
- Nashville SC win: approximately 61%
- Draw: approximately 23%
- CF Montreal win: approximately 22%
The market sees this as a competitive match, but one Nashville is expected to control. Montreal's implied win probability hovers around 1-in-5, which is low but not negligible for a home team.
To work through exact implied probabilities from any of the lines listed above, the Odds Converter makes that quick and straightforward.
Notable Line Differences Across Books
The range of Nashville moneyline prices is unusually wide for a single match. At the favorable end, BetRivers is posting Nashville at -132, while Unibet (France) has them as short as -189. That swing in implied probability creates legitimate opportunities to find value on either side.
Moneyline Standouts
- Best Nashville price: -132 at BetRivers and several others
- Best Montreal price: +376 at Kalshi, +375 at Fanatics Sportsbook, +374 at 1xBet
- Best draw price: +355 at Kalshi, +338 at Pinnacle, +333 at Betway
If you are considering a Nashville moneyline play, there is no reason to accept -164 or -175 when -132 is available at BetRivers. On the Montreal side, Kalshi (+376) and Fanatics (+375) are significantly better than the low end of the market at +280 or +285.
Spread Market
Most books offer the standard -1.5 Nashville / +1.5 Montreal spread, with the following prices available:
- Nashville -1.5: +170 (GTbets) to +182 (1xBet)
- Montreal +1.5: -204 (Kalshi) to -238 (GTbets)
A handful of books offer Nashville -1.0 or -0.75 lines, which give Nashville backers a cushion compared to the -1.5 format. Marathon Bet has Nashville -1.0 at +106, and Pinnacle has Nashville -0.75 at -123. These are worth a look for bettors who like Nashville to win but are not comfortable laying 1.5 goals.
Totals
The totals market is split between 2.5 and 3.5 goal lines, with 3.5 being the dominant number. Most books have the over 3.5 priced between +128 and +150 and the under 3.5 between -164 and -204, suggesting the market leans toward a lower-scoring game. Coolbet and Pinnacle offer a 3.0 line priced around -109/-112 each way, reflecting genuine uncertainty about scoring volume.
What to Watch Before Kickoff
Several factors could move this line before Saturday.
Form and standings context. Late-season MLS matches carry significant weight for playoff positioning. Nashville's standing in the Eastern Conference relative to Montreal will influence public and sharp money alike. Any lineup rotation or load management decisions could shift the spread meaningfully.
Injury and availability news. Montreal playing at home has value on paper, but the gap between these two sides in the market is already notable. A significant injury to Nashville's attack or Montreal's defensive core could tighten or widen the line quickly.
Line movement. If Nashville's price shortens further toward -175 or beyond, that would indicate sharp action reinforcing the favorite. If it drifts the other way, the market may be less confident than the opening line implied. The Line History tool tracks movement across 100-plus sportsbooks and is a reliable way to monitor how this number evolves before kickoff.
The market is clear on who it expects to win in Montreal on Saturday. The more interesting question is which book is giving you the best price to act on that expectation.