What the Odds Say About This Fixture
Manchester United travel to Anfield to face Liverpool on Sunday, November 22, with an 8:30 AM PST kickoff. The betting market reflects a clear lean toward the home side across every book tracked.
Liverpool are the consensus favorite. Their moneyline prices range from -125 at 1xBet to -213 at Smarkets, a spread wide enough to warrant line shopping before placing any bet. Manchester United sit as underdogs, with odds ranging from +225 at Betfair Exchange to +351 at 1xBet. The draw is generally priced between +225 and +317, with Smarkets again compressing that range due to its heavier lean toward Liverpool.
Liverpool vs. Manchester United Odds Breakdown
At most books, Liverpool are priced between -125 and -147, implying a win probability of roughly 56% to 60%. That is a meaningful edge, but not an overwhelming one, which reflects a rivalry where form and circumstances often matter more than talent gaps.
The -125 at 1xBet is the most favorable line for Liverpool backers in this market. Smarkets lists Liverpool at -213, implying a win probability closer to 68%. That is a significant outlier. Whether it reflects sharper positioning or a different pricing model, a gap that wide across books is worth noting.
To convert any of these prices into implied probabilities or compare American, decimal, and fractional formats, the Odds Converter handles that quickly.
Manchester United's Underdog Price
United are listed anywhere from +225 to +351 depending on the book. Betfair Exchange sits at the low end with +225, implying roughly a 31% win probability. At 1xBet's +351, that implied probability drops to about 22%. A 9-point gap in implied probability for the same outcome signals genuine disagreement between books.
For bettors who believe United's true win probability falls somewhere in that range, line shopping here makes a material difference. The payout gap between +225 and +351 on a $100 bet is $126.
The Draw Market
Draws are one of the most underexplored markets in soccer betting. In this fixture, the draw is priced between +225 and +317 at most books. A +300 draw at FanDuel or Paddy Power implies roughly a 25% win probability. Given the high stakes and defensive intensity typical of this rivalry, that number is worth weighing against historical Anfield results.
Note: Smarkets lists the draw at +240, not within the +225 to +317 range cited for most books, consistent with its heavier Liverpool lean throughout.
Totals: The Market Expects a Tight Game
The only totals line currently available comes from 1xBet, which has set the total at 2.5 goals. The over is priced at -132 and the under at +124, implying roughly a 57% probability the match goes over 2.5. That is a modest lean toward the over. If you expect a grinding, low-scoring match, the under at +124 offers a reasonable return.
What to Watch Before Kickoff
Injury and Squad News
With several weeks until kickoff, squad fitness is the most important variable not yet priced into this market. Any significant injury to Liverpool's attack or a key defensive piece at either club could shift lines noticeably. Monitor team news in the week leading up to November 22.
Form Going In
How both clubs are performing heading into mid-November will matter. United have shown inconsistency, and Liverpool's table position by that point could affect how aggressively either side approaches the fixture tactically.
Line Movement
The market has time to move before kickoff. If sharp money hits one side, prices will compress. Tracking how Betfair Exchange and Smarkets adjust relative to retail books can serve as a useful signal. Line Whale's Line History tool tracks 30 days of movement across 100-plus sportsbooks, which is useful for following how this fixture gets priced closer to game day.
Comparing Books Before You Bet
The spread between the best and worst prices on each outcome in this match is unusually wide. United bettors should target 1xBet's +351. Liverpool backers should look at 1xBet's -125 rather than paying -213 at Smarkets. Line shopping before this match settles is the clearest edge available right now. The Line Whale homepage gives you a live side-by-side comparison to make that process straightforward.