What the Odds Say
Liverpool opens as a heavy favorite at Anfield in this Premier League matchup against Fulham on Saturday, September 12. The moneyline odds across major US sportsbooks paint a clear picture: the market expects a Liverpool win, and the implied probabilities back that up by a wide margin.
The consensus Liverpool moneyline sits in the -192 to -263 range depending on where you shop. FanDuel prices Liverpool at -263, implying roughly a 72.4% chance of winning. Kalshi sits closer to -192, implying about 65.8%. That 70-point spread is worth paying attention to, and we cover it in detail below. Fulham is listed as a significant underdog across the board, with odds ranging from +480 at BetRivers to +550 at FanDuel. A draw sits in the +350 to +400 range at most books.
Implied Probabilities at a Glance
Using the midpoint of the market, here is roughly what each outcome implies:
- Liverpool win: 68-72% implied probability
- Draw: 20-22% implied probability
- Fulham win: 9-12% implied probability
Those numbers reflect a market that heavily favors the home side but still leaves meaningful room for a Fulham result or a stalemate. Draws happen far more often than casual bettors expect, and books are pricing that possibility at roughly 1-in-5 odds here. To convert any of these lines yourself, the Line Whale Odds Converter makes it simple to flip between American, decimal, and fractional formats.
Notable Line Differences Across Sportsbooks
The spread between books on this match is significant, and bettors should shop before placing a wager.
Liverpool Moneyline
The range runs from -192 at Kalshi to -263 at FanDuel. A $100 bet on Liverpool at -263 requires you to risk $263 to profit $100. The same bet at -192 costs $192. For Liverpool backers, landing closer to -192 makes a real difference in value over time.
Fulham Moneyline
Fulham bettors have better options on the other end. BetRivers has Fulham at +480, while FanDuel offers +550. Always grab the highest number available on an underdog. A $100 bet at +550 pays $550 in profit versus $480 at BetRivers.
Draw Odds
The draw sits between +350 and +400 across most books. MyBookie.ag is the low end at +350, while Fanatics and Kalshi both list +400. Bettors targeting the draw should avoid MyBookie.ag and look to FanDuel or BetRivers at +380.
Totals and Spread Markets
The total is set at 3.5 goals at books offering it. The market leans under, priced at -147 to -159, while the over sits at +115 to +125. That aligns with typical expectations for a Premier League match at Anfield, where tactical structure can suppress scoring even when Liverpool controls possession.
On the spread, Bovada offers Liverpool -1.25 at -102, which is notable value for bettors who want Liverpool to win but prefer some cushion over the steep moneyline price. MyBookie.ag lists Liverpool -1.5 at +110, a positive return if Liverpool wins by two or more. A plus-money line on what the market implies is a likely outcome is worth flagging.
Key Factors to Watch Before Kickoff
Several variables could shift these lines before September 12.
Injury and squad news. Any news involving key Liverpool attackers or first-choice defenders will move the moneyline quickly. Line movement after team announcements often signals where sharp money is landing.
Recent form. How both clubs perform in fixtures leading into this one will influence public betting patterns and potentially sharp action. A Fulham winning run or a Liverpool draw would both attract attention to the underdog and draw markets.
Home field. Anfield is one of the most difficult away venues in the Premier League. That reality is already baked into the line and is the primary reason the market discounts Fulham so heavily.
If this match shapes up as a strong value opportunity closer to kickoff, our Steam Moves tool tracks sharp line movement across the market so you can see where professional money is landing before it gets priced out.
Bottom Line on the Liverpool vs. Fulham Market
Liverpool is a clear favorite, but the gap between sportsbooks creates real opportunities for line shoppers. Comparing numbers across BetRivers, Kalshi, FanDuel, and Bovada before locking anything in is the smart play, regardless of which outcome you are targeting.