What the Odds Say About Everton vs. Hull City
Everton heads to Hull City on Sunday, October 11, 2026, in a Premier League fixture where the market is sending a clear message: the Toffees are the favorites, but this is far from a one-sided matchup. With 28 days until kickoff, lines are already active across more than 30 books, and the spread of opinion between those books is worth paying close attention to.
Everton carries an implied probability in the 45-50% range to win outright, based on moneylines hovering around +105 to +116 across most major books. Hull City, as the home side, is priced anywhere from +230 to +300 depending on where you look. The draw fills in the middle at roughly +210 to +243.
Everton Moneyline: Shopping the Favorite
Despite Hull City holding home-field advantage, Everton is the clear market favorite. FanDuel, Bovada, Fanatics, and Unibet (UK) all price Everton at +105, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 49%.
A few books shade further in Everton's favor. Betclic and Unibet (France) list Everton at negative odds (-108 and -109, respectively), and Winamax France goes furthest at -111. These are notable outliers on one side of the market.
On the other end, MyBookie.ag offers Everton at +102 and LeoVegas has them at +100, essentially treating this as a coin flip between an Everton win and any other result. For the best number on Everton, 1xBet (+114) and Betfair Exchange (+116) offer the most value at the time of writing.
Hull City's Odds and the Home Underdog Market
Hull City's prices vary significantly across the board. Winamax France is tightest on the Tigers at +230, while Betfair Exchange goes as high as +300. That is a 70-point gap between the shortest and longest prices available. For bettors who like backing home underdogs, shopping that number is essential.
The draw market also shows more dispersion than usual. 1xBet posts Draw at +243, while several books cluster around +210 to +230. Three-way soccer markets with this kind of spread can sometimes create arbitrage opportunities worth exploring, particularly when the favorite is priced near even money.
Spreads and Totals
The spread market has limited coverage compared to the moneyline, but the lines that exist tell a consistent story. Pinnacle posts Everton at -0.25 goals (-123), a quarter-ball line suggesting Everton is expected to win by less than half a goal on average. Bovada and MyBookie.ag both offer Hull City +0.5, priced at -125 and -135 respectively. The heavier juice on Hull City's half-goal line confirms the market still respects Everton's edge, even on the road.
On totals, the consensus sits firmly at Under 2.5 goals. LeoVegas prices the under at -175, MyBookie.ag and PMU at -179, and Bovada at -169. Pinnacle has set its total at 2.25 goals with the over at -102, reflecting a market that expects a low-scoring match but leaves the door slightly open for a third goal. If you are building a parlay around the total, use the Parlay Calculator to check how these juice levels affect your payout.
Key Factors to Watch Before Kickoff
Several factors could move these lines over the next four weeks.
Team form and injuries. Premier League markets are sensitive to squad news. A significant injury to a key Everton attacker or a Hull City defensive starter could shift the moneyline by 15-20 points quickly.
Recent results. If either club goes on a run or hits a rough patch before match day, expect the books to react. Pinnacle and sharp-facing books tend to move first, making those lines a useful early signal.
Hull City's home form. The Tigers are home underdogs here, but strong home performances through this stretch of the season could push their price down from the current +230 to +300 range fast.
Line movement. With nearly a month until kickoff, this market has plenty of time to shift. Tracking movement at sharp books like Pinnacle can indicate where informed money is landing. Check Steam Moves to follow any significant line changes as the match approaches.
The market currently points to a tight, low-scoring match with Everton holding a modest edge on the road. How that picture develops over the next four weeks will be the real story.