What the Odds Say
Liverpool head to Selhurst Park as clear favorites in this Premier League fixture on Sunday, November 9 at 6:00 AM PST. The moneyline market leaves little doubt about which side oddsmakers favor, though prices vary enough across books to reward bettors who shop around.
Liverpool's moneyline sits between -141 and -185 depending on the book, implying a win probability of roughly 59% to 65%. Crystal Palace range from +300 to +378, putting their outright win probability at around 21% to 25%. The draw sits between +270 and +351, implying a 22% to 27% chance of a stalemate. In soccer betting, the draw is a real market outcome and should not be overlooked.
For a quick conversion of any of these prices into implied probability, the Odds Converter makes the math simple.
Moneyline Odds: Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Book-by-Book
The spread of Liverpool prices across books is notable. Winamax France and Smarkets have Liverpool shortest at -185, while 1xBet offers the longest price at -141. Kalshi and William Hill both list Liverpool at -149, sitting on the more favorable end of the range for Reds backers. For Palace, 1xBet leads at +378 and Betfred at +360. On the draw, Marathon Bet and FanDuel share the best price at +340.
Betfair Exchange lists all three outcomes at -833, which reflects exchange-format liquidity and commission structure rather than standard implied probabilities. Those numbers are not directly comparable to sportsbook lines and should be read accordingly.
The gap between the sharpest Liverpool price (-141 at 1xBet) and the shortest (-185 at Winamax and Smarkets) is significant. Bettors targeting Liverpool on the moneyline should prioritize the longer numbers.
Spread and Total Markets
The spread market is thin, with only a handful of books posting lines. 1xBet has Liverpool at -1.5 goals priced at +174, requiring a two-goal win or better to cash. Marathon Bet offers Liverpool -1.0 at +108, which includes a push if Liverpool win by exactly one. MyBookie posts Liverpool -0.5 at -164, functioning as a "Liverpool to win" bet at a steeper price than most straight moneylines on the board.
For totals, the primary line across most books is 3.5 goals. LeoVegas offers the Over 3.5 at +112, while MyBookie and 1xBet have it at +116 and +134 respectively. The Under 3.5 ranges from -143 to -161, indicating a market lean toward fewer goals without strong conviction. William Hill is the only book posting a 2.5-goal total, with the Over at -227 and the Under at +150, a significant lean toward a match with at least three goals.
If you are comparing lines across books on totals, the Middle Calculator can help identify any windows worth targeting.
Key Factors to Watch Before the Match
Team form and injuries. Liverpool's squad depth and recent form are the biggest drivers of line movement heading into kickoff. News on key attackers or a goalkeeper concern could shift prices by several points in either direction.
Crystal Palace's home record. Selhurst Park is a difficult venue, and Palace tend to be more competitive at home. That dynamic supports the draw price holding above +300 across most of the market. The stalemate deserves consideration, particularly if the market tightens further before kickoff.
Lineup decisions. Rotation is common for top Premier League clubs managing fixture congestion. If Liverpool rest key players ahead of a European match, the market could adjust quickly. The Line History tool tracks how prices move across books in the days leading up to the match.
Market consensus. Books agree Liverpool are the most likely winner, but the implied probability is not a lock. With the draw factored in, Palace are alive in this match by the numbers, and the right price could make the underdog or the stalemate worth a look as the market settles.