Arsenal Heavy Favorites at Home Against Championship Side Hull City
Arsenal enters this FA Cup fixture as one of the most lopsided favorites on the board. Moneyline odds across major sportsbooks imply the Gunners win this match the vast majority of the time. Hull City, currently competing in the Championship (the second tier of English football), faces a steep climb against one of the Premier League's elite clubs.
The odds tell a clear story before a single ball is kicked.
What the Moneyline Odds Tell Us
The consensus across more than two dozen books points to Arsenal as overwhelming favorites. Most books have the Gunners priced between -476 and -769 on the moneyline, with the bulk of the market clustering in the -556 to -667 range. At -556, Arsenal's implied win probability sits around 85%. At -667, that climbs closer to 87%.
Hull City's moneyline odds range from +850 to +1600, a wide spread that reflects genuine book-to-book variation on a heavy underdog. The mid-market for Hull lands around +1200 to +1400, implying a win probability in the neighborhood of 7% to 8%.
The draw sits in the +525 to +675 range at most books, implying roughly a 13% to 16% probability. That range is tighter than the Hull City line spread, suggesting books are more aligned on the draw probability than on Hull's exact ceiling.
One outlier worth flagging: Betfair Exchange has Arsenal priced at -625 and Hull City at +769 for the draw. On exchanges, the draw being priced that heavily typically reflects sharp money pushing the no-draw outcome, though exchange pricing can behave differently from traditional sportsbook lines.
If you want to compare these odds across formats or see the implied probability each line is offering, the Odds Converter makes that quick work.
Spread and Totals Market
The spread market is thin for this fixture, but what's available adds useful context. 1xBet has Arsenal -1.5 at -152, while MyBookie has the same line at -175. Marathon Bet offers Arsenal -2.0 at -102, suggesting their model expects the Gunners to win by multiple goals. At -102 on the -2 line, the implied probability of a two-goal Arsenal win is essentially a coin flip, consistent with the idea that Arsenal not only win, but win comfortably.
The totals market reinforces that picture. The primary line across most books is 3.5, with the under generally the favored side. BetMGM, LeoVegas, and MyBookie all have the under 3.5 at -175, while the over 3.5 is available at +125 at BetMGM and +120 at LeoVegas. Marathon Bet has the under 3.5 at -161 and the over at +134. William Hill offers a separate line at 2.5, with the under at +140 and the over at -189. If you like the over 2.5, William Hill's -189 is expensive. The broader market at 3.5 implies books expect somewhere between 2 and 4 total goals in the most likely scenarios.
Key Factors to Watch Before the Match
Team selection and squad rotation. This is an FA Cup match, and Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta has historically rotated his squad in cup competitions. A heavily rotated Arsenal lineup could push Hull's price inward and shift the total. Fringe players and youth call-ups change the calculus on both the spread and totals markets.
Hull City's Championship form. A mid-table Hull side playing at the Emirates is a different proposition than a team in form. Check where Hull sits in the standings and how they've performed recently. A squad low on confidence is even less likely to keep this close.
Venue. Arsenal are at home, already baked into the odds, but it matters. The Emirates has been a genuine fortress against lower-league opposition in FA Cup play.
Line movement. With two weeks until kickoff, squad announcements and injury updates are the primary movers. Tracking how these odds evolve can surface value before it closes. Line History lets you monitor movement across sportsbooks so you can catch significant shifts early.
Shopping Lines Matters Here
Even in a fixture this lopsided, the gap between +850 and +1600 on Hull City is substantial. Book selection has a real impact on your payout if you are betting the underdog. The same logic applies to the draw, where the spread between +525 and +675 across books is meaningful. Line shopping is always worth the effort, and in a market with this much variance, it is essential.